[TheDopp]

And i have like 3 people in my friend list who are trade banned and they have more then 20 buds.

That's the most cogent theory I've heard as to why buds are 'disappearing'. The only one actually. Still mostly overblown though.

buds i think will top 40$ but dont think they will go much higher.

I've heard a couple people say this, but I've never seen any of the reasoning behind it...any insights you could share as to why you think so?

The secret cabal that controls TF2 item prices settled on $40. They also decided to spread rumors of the nano going all-class, and the push to get the Festivizer recognized as the best hat ever. Many Bothans died to get us this information.